Miscellaneous Writings

Some of the samples here are just fun and some are varied projects that I’ve undertaken along the writer’s path.

Wide Open Horoscopes

The Lover’s Kiss

The sweetest bliss, a lover’s kiss
an infusion of soul to soul,
spirits in harmony, passions in flames
ecstasy barely controlled.

A lover’s stare, my hands in your hair
Eyes locked in sensuous embrace,
Flushed cheeks pressed together in tenderness
a snapshot of beauty and grace.

Stars in your eyes, a lover’s reprise
A replay of passion explored,
Your hand held in mine with honor and love
The promise of sweetness adored.

Both lovers and friends, God don’t let it end
Please never let her lips leave mine,
Her embrace is to me my heartbeating soul
Her kiss a brief taste of divine.

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(an academic paper)
A National Renewable Energy Policy: The Hand’s Off Approach

As a nation our energy needs and the problems associated with them are constantly demanding of attention and systemic. The term “petro dollar” has been bandied about as a catch-phrase to describe how international commerce is conducted, with the US dollar as the reserve and the per barrel price of oil as a hard, natural resource standard. Since the United States emerged on the forefront of global business as a superpower after World War 2, the US dollar and the barrel price of oil have been inextricably linked in the ever-expanding global marketplace. However, the non-renewable nature of petroleum makes tying this resource to any national currency perilous for both the planet and the world financial markets. Embarking upon a renewable energy policy on a national scale is therefore not only a logical decision, but an inevitable one that if not made by choice will be forced upon the US as a nation by necessity as petroleum supplies dwindle.

In an apparent contradiction to the accepted model that oil reserves are a limited resource and that increasing demand reduces that resource, recoverable world oil reserves have steadily increased from 639 billion barrels in 1980 to 1.624 trillion barrels in 2013.1 This statistic, however, may be misleading due to the use of the term “recoverable”. Subsea arctic oil reserves may be plentiful, but they are not necessarily recoverable in a viable economic sense. A far more measurable statistic is the exponential growth of automobile ownership in nations such as India and China which has exploded in the last 20 years. In 2002, Chinese car owners increased from 2.5 million nationally to nearly 20 million in 20102. India, while not experiencing near the auto ownership skyrocketing growth of China, has surged from 675,000 in 2001 to 2.5 million in 20113. The model for automobile ownership is not trustworthy as an overall indicator of petroleum usage but does serve as a bellwether for that usage, especially when combined with statistics reflecting petroleum usage for manufacturing and electrical power generation. In industrialized nations, especially those in the Western hemisphere, this growth has a plateau point where it seems to level off and stabilize4, but differing cultural mores, values and consumer habits between east and west also make dependence upon these statistic of questionable value. What is not questioned, however, is the fact that the internal combustion engine remains the primary motor for the generation of electrical energy and the mode of mass transport. Alternative methods to replace the combustion engine have either been unsuccessful or disappointing, but much like the technology associated with recovering petroleum from our natural environment, the technologies of energy storage (batteries) that fuel electric cars and energy conversion (wind, solar and hydro-electric) provide great promise for quantum leaps in the foreseeable future.

In short, oil production will continue along with the use of the combustion engine and, as other nations continue to develop, the rising sale of the automobile for personal and mass transport. The global economy cannot at this point in time continue without these tools.

But, due to the very technology that provides such promise, this position is both untenable and perilous. A single, unhindered invention of a high capacity/high storage battery could revolutionize the automobile industry, and likewise with the solar cell. In recent years, markets have been affected by the drop in price of solar panels to well under $1 per watt5, an outcome that may have been unforeseen by various marketing mystics in the global economy but which is the norm today.

Consider the two-pronged possibility of a revolutionizing power storage technological breakthrough along with the current paradigm of the world’s reserve currency (the US dollar) remaining tied to the barrel price of oil and you have the makings of an economic disaster. Business is and must remain a conservative endeavor, and reaps its rewards by relying on tried and true practices thus often creating a lag or lethargy with regards to innovation. “If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it” is a staple phrase in industry because that mentality produces profits, yet this might also set the stage for a global market apocalypse when it comes to renewable energy. Businesses are hesitant to risk heavy investment in technologies outside the internal combustion engine/petroleum-based model, yet innovation in free marketplaces make technological leaps inevitable and unstoppable. Growth, change and advancement can and must occur. Any nation whose energy policy is inextricably linked to yesterday’s technology risks being left behind in the global marketplace, and those peoples dependent upon these policies for the energy that produces fuel, food and sustained living conditions in compliance with accepted human standards are at risk of paying the price.

There is another possibility that must in brief be considered; the possibility of no technological breakthrough. Consider underfunded alternative energy technologies remaining undeveloped and the extraction of recoverable oil reserves reaching their peak, as they eventually must. In layman’s terms, nations begin to run out of recoverable petroleum with no method of replacing the energy that technology provides. The lights go out and the cars cease to run, the factories shut down and the faucets cease to give water, except for those who can afford it. Current technologies for energy production are able to meet many of our energy needs without the necessity of the combustion engine and extravagant and ever-expanding petroleum use. To be caught between the hammer and the anvil of reduced oil extraction and increased oil use is to court catastrophe of unimaginable consequences that no statistical model has yet displayed the courage to conceptualize. While it may not end civilization as we know it (at least not right away), it would by necessity curtail the growth of our civilization for billions of people in emerging industrialized societies, along with the removal of any promise of a similar lifestyle for future generations.

In summary, a national renewable energy policy is not only advisable it is necessitated by our current untenable model of oil use verse oil production. The production and use of recoverable oil reserves is a fairly predictable constant while the quality and rate of technological advancement is almost completely unpredictable. Yet advances in wind and solar generated energy along with energy storage capability have provided technologies that draw ever closer to meeting our needs. An inclusive national policy could, without infringing upon market forces or civil liberties, encourage industrial growth, commercial expansion and technological development while simultaneously providing incentives to reduce reliance upon the traditional internal combustion engine method of producing energy. Thus a win-win scenario is conceptualized for any nation that acknowledges the current need for traditional energy production while embracing the hope of technologies that enhance alternative energy in general. And since these changes will occur with or without an inclusive national energy policy, a well thought out national strategy for accepting these changes would significantly reduce the discomfort certain to be felt by so many ensconced in the current petroleum/combustion engine model. This makes a national renewable energy policy vital to the sustainable living standards mankind enjoys and is coming to enjoy and assures a leading, cutting edge position for any nation applying such a policy. Such a policy is, therefore, a necessity.

 

 

 

 

 

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(my father’s obituary)

Loy Frank Warren, Jr. “JR” died fighting PSP at his home in Independence, MO on May 19. JR is survived by his 5 children – Loy Frank Warren III, Rebecca Jennings, Scott Warren, Kelly Warren and Spencer Warren – as well as 8 grandchildren and 4 great-grandchildren. Living out “The Motto” (Persistence) with his last breath, he was preceded in death by his wife of 47 years, Mona Scott Warren. JR strode through life like a Titan and was loved and respected by all who knew him. Hitchhiking from his birthplace in Amarillo, TX in 1954 with $1.25 in his pocket, he built with his bare hands a company that built a good portion of Kansas City. His life was the stuff of legends, and his indomitable approach to life’s struggle was matched only by his generous spirit. A true Son of Texas and the very definition of manhood, JR was a masterful man of great humor, courage, devotion, love and unstoppable endurance. A Marine Corps veteran, the message he leaves behind is timeless: family, hard work and press on.

Services will be held at 1pm, Saturday May 24th at the Full Gospel Assembly church, 10537 East 6th Street S., Independence, MO.

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